What are the Reds playoff chances?

No matter what the doubters will tell you, the Cincinnati Reds aren't out of it just yet.

Washington Nationals v Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals v Cincinnati Reds / Jeff Dean/GettyImages

When the Cincinnati Reds ripped off 12 wins in a row, it looked like the team was a shoo-in to be part of the playoff mix this season. But ever since the All-Star break, something seems amiss.

The Reds are currently sitting 2.5 games back in the National League Central Division. The Milwaukee Brewers still sits atop the division, with the recent surging Chicago Cubs in a virtual tie with Cincinnati.

After losing eight of their last nine games, the Reds are fortunate enough to still have a chance to make the playoffs just one year after losing 100 games.

What are the Reds playoff chances?

According to FanGraphs, the Cincinnati Reds have an 8.6% chance to win the division and a 12% chance to clinch a Wild Card berth. The odds have drastically decreased over their last 10 games, but the Reds still have a shot. Their percentage odds have lowered over the past few weeks, but it's still better the 0.5% chance back in May.

As injuries have piled up, the Reds depth has surely been tested during the second half of the season. Fortunately, there is help on the way with Hunter Greene, Tejay Antone, and Nick Lodolo scheduled to return this month.

With a little less than two months remaining, the Reds, Cubs, and Brewers are all in tight race competing for the NL Central. In the current playoff odds, the Brewers have a 62.1% chance to win the division, while the Cubs sit at 29%.

The Reds have struggled against the Cubs and Brewers this season, but fortunately only play the Cubs in one more series to close out the season. The Reds and Brewers will not face each other again this year unless they see each other in the postseason.

Closing out the month of August, the Reds will matchup against the San Francisco Giants in a must win series. The Giants are currently in the mix for the NL Wild Card.

The month of September brings great opportunity for the Cincinnati Reds as they play the Detroit Tigers, Minnesota Twins, New York Mets, Pittsburgh Pirates, Cleveland Guardians, and St. Louis Cardinals. The Reds must turn things around if they want to see their first postseason appearance since 2020.