Last night, the Cincinnati Reds began a three-game series against the New York Mets. Sitting with a 15-20 record, five games behind the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Compared to last year's start, the Reds are playing much better, but what are their chances at securing a playoff spot this year? With 127 games remaining in the young season, the Reds have a 0.5-percent chance to make the playoffs via Baseball-Reference.
The Milwaukee Brewers lead the National League Central with a 81.6-percent chance to make the playoffs. The Chiacgo Cubs are second with a 40.6-percent chance, and the St. Louis Cardinals, despite being in last place, are in third with a 37.6-percent chance. The Pirates come in fourth with a 26-percent chance.
What can the Reds do to improve their minuscule chances of playing into October?
With the much anticipated major league debuts of Matt McLain, Christian Encarnacion-Strand, and Elly De La Cruz, the Reds could improve their chances tremendously by calling up their top prospects in short order.
Joey Votto is another player who could give the Reds a better chance to make the playoffs, But when is the former NL MVP coming back? On May 5th, courtesy of the Cincinnati Enquirer, Votto said he would be back on a rehab assignment in "the not too distant future."
One last move would be to call up left-handed starter Andrew Abbott who has been tearing it up in Double-A Chattanooga and Triple-A Louisville. With his limited experience in Triple-A, calling him up to The Show could be one of the more risky moves this season.
A few winning streaks and calling up their young prospects would certainly give the Cincinnati Reds their best shot at making the playoffs since the 2020 season; granted the league only played 60 regular-season games that year.
FanGraphs is a bit more kind to Cincinnati, giving the Reds a 1.1-percent chance of making the postseason. The Brewers still lead the way with a 67.3-percent chance.