CBS Sports prediction will have Reds fans on high alert ahead of non-tender deadline

The Cincinnati Reds’ unexpected trade for Gavin Lux generated some of the most buzz among the fanbase last season. His red-hot start made the move seem like wizardry, but a regression and injuries in the second half make Lux’s future in Cincinnati murky as the deadline for teams to tender contracts to arbitration-eligible players approaches.

According to CBS Sports, the Reds may opt to non-tender Lux because of his defensive inconsistencies and limitations at the plate. The article makes the point that Lux struggles so mightily against lefties that he would simply be a platoon option and a defensive and baserunning liability at that. The Reds’ lack of depth in the outfield, though, may push the club in a difficult position with regard to Lux.

Gavin Lux may be on his way out if the Reds opt not to tender him a contract

Estimates put Lux’s paycheck for 2026 at $5 million. That would make him one of the highest paid position players, behind Tyler Stephenson. Do the Reds really want to spend that much on a platoon player that is barely above average (111 wRC+) even when he faces right-handers?

The wrinkle here is that there aren’t as many qualified outfielders on the market who could be signed for less than $5 million. The Reds could take a run at re-signing Austin Hays or reuniting with Jesse Winker. But neither of these options feel that much better than offering Lux a contract.

The trade market could provide some better options. Brendan Donovan of the St. Louis Cardinals, for example, would make a strong fit due to his versatility and superior offense compared to Lux. Whether the division-rival Cards would entertain such an offer or the Reds would bear sending a top prospect to an NL Central foe is open for debate. Steven Kwan or Jarren Duran could also be attractive targets.

In some ways, the Reds’ decision on whether or not to non-tender Lux may define their offseason. At the very least, it will tell us a lot about how Cincinnati views its outfield options. Reds fans should be on high alert when the deadline for contract decisions rolls around this Friday.