Reds vs. Orioles prediction and odds for Monday, June 26 (Cincy's Pitching is a Problem)

Cincinnati Reds starting pitcher Brandon Williamson (55)
Cincinnati Reds starting pitcher Brandon Williamson (55) / Kareem Elgazzar/The Enquirer / USA TODAY

The Cincinnati Reds were ripping through baseball on their 12-game win streak, but they found out over the weekend that they aren’t quite in the upper echelon of National League contenders when they dropped two of three to the Atlanta Braves. Now, the 41-37 Reds have a three-game series on the road against the 47-29 Baltimore Orioles, another over .500 team that could get Cincinnati problems.

For Game 1 tonight, the Reds will send Brandon Williamson to the mound to make his eighth start of the season and he will be opposed by Cole Irvin. In his previous seven starts, Williamson is 1-0 with a 5.40 ERA while Irvin is 1-3 with a 7.71 ERA in seven appearances, five of which have been starts. 

Now that the Reds have been sufficiently cooled off they’re underdogs on the road in Baltimore. 

Reds vs. Orioles odds, run line and total

Reds vs. Orioles prediction and pick

The Cincinnati Reds are a fun story in June, but it doesn’t look like this team is built to last the rest of the way, even in a terrible NL Central. In their 12-game win streak, they only had three wins against teams over .500 and really struggled against the Braves this weekend. Now, they’re facing another bonafide contender and might not be up to snuff. 

So far this month, the Reds are second in runs scored at 129, third in home runs with 35, and fourth in OPS at .800. However, they are 27th in team ERA with a staff-wide 5.08 with 40 home runs allowed, the second most in the league this month. Their pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.45. Brandon Williamson who is on the mound has been part of the struggle lately with 12 earned runs allowed in his last 15.2 innings on the mound. 

The Reds and Orioles both send lefties to the mound today and both are just outside of the top 10 in team OPS against left-handers this season. Anthony Santander has been on fire lately for Baltimore with four home runs in the past week and he is their best hitter against lefties. This combination sounds like the recipe for a very high scoring affair at Camden Yards. I like the Orioles to win, but I prefer the value on the over which protects me from Cincy’s bats catching fire again. 

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change