Reds vs. Diamondbacks prediction and odds for Thursday, Aug. 24 (Trust Cincy on road)

The Reds are back in the postseason picture, holding a half game lead over three teams, one of which is Thursday's opponent, the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Cincinnati can further its standing as the final team in the NL wild card race with a win on Thursday against Arizona, how will the team handle Merrill Kelly?

Here are the odds for Thursday's series opener:

Reds vs. Diamondbacks odds, run line and total

Reds vs. Diamondbacks prediction and pick

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Kelly has had another fine season for the D-Backs, but his numbers are smoke and mirrors with an xERA of 4.36. Kelly has allowed a ton of hard contact, more than one home run per nine innings and walking more than three batters per nine, and he can run into trouble against a Reds lineup that is league average in slugging percentage this month.

Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks may be in a poor matchup against Reds' left hander Brandon Williamson. While he has struggled with hard contact this season, allowing over a home run per nine innings, but Arizona is 21st in slugging percentage against lefties. I don't think Williamson's biggest issue will play a role on Thursday.

With Kelly's looming regression, I believe this is a great underdog bet to make on the visitors.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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