2. Connor Overton will not be on the Reds roster by May 1st.
I'm sorry. I know that Connor Overton hasn't even started a game yet, but his performance this spring was not very inspiring. The right-hander posted a 15.43 ERA in four games, but did strikeout 10 batters a little less than 12 innings.
The biggest blemish on Overton's Cactus League stat line is the six home runs he surrendered. Couple that with the fact that the 29-year-old allowed back-to-back jacks to teammates Jonathan India and Stuart Fairchild in last week's intra-squad scrimmage, and this does not look very promising.
Overton is not a power-pitcher, he a finesse-pitcher. Last year's rookie has five different pitches in his arsenal, none of which creep much above 90-mph. It is all about location with Overton. If he's hitting his spots, there's certainly a chance that he could remain in the starting rotation. But after a prolonged recovery from a back injury and a subpar spring, color me skeptical.
Connor Overton's time in the starting rotation is also tied to the health of Luke Weaver. Cincinnati inked the veteran to a one-year deal during the offseason, and once he's fully recovered from a forearm injury that kept him off the Opening Day roster, fans should expect to see Weaver back on the mound.