The Cincinnati Reds are in a four-way tie for the final Wild Card spot in the National League. However, if the MLB Playoffs started today, the David Bell's squad would be on the outside looking in.
Despite having an identical winning percentage as the Arizona Diamondbacks, San Francisco Giants, and Miami Marlins, the tiebreaker would not favor the Reds in this scenario.
But, when it comes to playoffs odds, the Reds may have the advantage. Outside of the upcoming three-game series against the Seattle Mariners and a visit from the Minnesota Twins later this month, no team on the Reds schedule has a winning record.
Latest MLB playoff odds should be very encouraging for Reds fans.
According to Baseball Reference, the Cincinnati Reds currently have a 35.1-percent to make the playoffs. In fact, the outlet suggests the most likely playoff scenario would be that Cincinnati would claim the final Wild Card spot and battle the Milwaukee Brewers in the first-round of the MLB Playoffs.
While a first-round matchup with the Brew Crew would be less than ideal, the fact that the Redlegs could even make it to the postseason a year after losing 100 games is rather incredible.
Baseball Reference predicts that the Reds could finish with as many as 87 wins this season. The worst case scenario, however, sees Cincinnati claiming just eight more vicotries to finish the 2023 season with a win-loss record of 79-83.
After winning the season series against both the Chicago Cubs and Arizona Diamondbacks, the Cincinnati Reds have the tiebreaker advantage over both clubs. But the Reds lost the season series to the San Francisco Giants this season, so identical records at the end of the season would not favor Cincinnati. The Miami Marlins split the season series with the Reds.
But, of the 25 games remaining on the Marlins' schedule, 16 come against teams with a winning record. As for the Giants, they've got seven games against the Los Angeles Dodgers over the final few weeks of the season.
It's going to be a race to the finish line, and the Cincinnati Reds may have a slight advantage at the moment. The chase for that final Wild Card spot in the National League will be the most intriguing one to watch over the next several weeks.