Everything you need to know for the Reds 2022 home opening series vs. the Guardians
Reds Country, there are several positives to take away from the opening season series split with the defending World Champion Braves in Atlanta over the weekend. For starters, the outfield defense, which has been well below-average the past couple of years, appears to be a strength of your 2022 Cincinnati Reds.
Whether it was centerfielder Nick Senzel making diving catches or Aristides Aquino showing off his cannon of a right arm to cut down a runner at the plate, Cincinnati has vastly improved a previous deficiency. Toss in the athleticism of Jake Fraley, and the Reds outfield is far removed from the subpar glove-work of the departed Nick Castellanos and Jesse Winker.
Next, one of the biggest question marks for the 2022 campaign, which has been a common one for several years with the Redlegs, is how will an inexperienced bullpen perform? The early returns are outstanding.
The Reds host the Guardians as GABP opens its gates in 2022.
Cincinnati's bullpen allowed just four runs and 10 hits in 17.1 innings of work over the weekend. Additionally, they fanned 18 Braves hitters. Right-handers Luis Cessa and Tony Santillan, along with lefty Justin Wilson, posted multiple scoreless outings. Also, Santillan and, fellow right-hander, Art Warren recorded their first major league saves.
In addition, the Reds' offense rocked the Braves' pitching staff with big innings. Three of the four contests at Truist Park featured the Redlegs denting the plate at least three times in an inning. Strong defense, a shutdown bullpen, and big innings from the offense are a recipe for success.
Perhaps the biggest question facing Cincinnati for their home opener is which Cleveland offense will show up. In their first two games, both losses, the Guardians crossed the dish just one time. However, in Cleveland's two victories, the Guardians' offense exploded for 27 runs.
Not only has the 2022 schedule featured the Reds opening away from the Queen City for the first time since 1990, but the oddities don't end there. Believe it or not, this will not be the first-ever meeting with Cleveland to open Cincinnati's home docket. The Cincinnati Reds last bested the Cleveland Spiders 3-2 to open the 1898 baseball season.
Previewing the pitching matchups: Reds vs. Guardians
For Cincinnati, it went so well the first time, why not do it again. Tyler Mahle (1-0 0.00 ERA), who was sensational in the season opener versus Atlanta, will open the 2022 home portion of the Reds' schedule as well. Former Cy Young Award winner, Shane Bieber (0-0 1.93 ERA), gets the assignment for Terry Francona's club.
Let's hope Cleveland sees the same Tyler Mahle they witnessed the last time the two squads met. The Reds' right-hander tossed six shutout innings of one-hit baseball while recording a half-dozen punch outs. Nevertheless, the California native is still seeking his first career victory against the Guardians.
On the opposite end of the spectrum is Shane Bieber. The two-time All-Star has never lost to the Reds. Making four starts, he's 3-0 with a 3.21 ERA in 28 frames. Additionally, Bieber has whiffed 34 Redlegs against only six free passes. However, Joey Votto is slashing .333/.429/.500 in 12 at-bats versus the Cleveland ace.
For the second time in six games, Cincinnati will send another of their top pitching prospects to the mound to make their MLB debut. Southpaw Nick Lodolo, the club's second-ranked prospect according to MLB.com, will toe the rubber.
The Reds' first-round selection in the 2019 draft was impressive in spring training. Hurling 11.1 innings, he allowed just three runs on nine hits while fanning a dozen opposing hitters. Currently, the California native enters the 2022 campaign as the No. 36 prospect in all of baseball per Baseball America (subscription required).
In a battle of lefties, Triston McKenzie (0-1 6.00 ERA) takes the mound for the Guardians on Wednesday afternoon. The 24-year-old baffled the Redlegs in their only meeting last year. Tossing five innings of one-run baseball, McKenzie compiled seven strikeouts.
This is the perfect opportunity for Cincinnati manager David Bell to give Tyler Naquin a rest. McKenzie fanned the Reds' left-handed hitting outfielder twice in three opportunities. Perhaps the Reds will fare better with Aristides Aquino in the lineup on Wednesday.
The Reds are looking to capture the Ohio Cup for the first time since 2014.
It's been a while since the Ohio Cup has resided in the Queen City, and it can hardly be classified as a rivalry. Since 2015, Cleveland has dominated Cincinnati going 24-10 in their head-to-head meetings. As a matter of fact, the Cincinnati Reds have won just two series over that timespan.
The meetings have been so lopsided in the Guardians' favor, that the Reds have not won more than two consecutive games over the last seven seasons. Whether they're playing at Progressive Field or Great American Ball Park, it hasn't made much of a difference. Cincinnati is just 5-12 at GABP and has been swept three times since the 2015 campaign on their home turf.
However, some new blood in the Reds' lineup is perhaps the perfect antidote. Outfielder Tommy Pham has abused Cleveland pitching throughout his nine-year career. The Las Vegas native is slashing .290/.362/.516 with three round-trippers in 62 at-bats versus the Guardians.
Enough of the negativity. Anyone who watched the Reds battle the Braves over the weekend had to come away impressed. Additionally, it seems the Redlegs have made believers out of the folks at Baseball-Reference.
Granted it's extremely early, but Baseball-Reference currently gives Cincinnati a 54.4% chance of making the postseason. Considering where the hearts and minds of Reds Country were 30 days ago, let's take it.
Prediction: Reds vs. Guardians
A new look Reds ball club means a new chapter in the battle for the Ohio Cup. While Eugenio Suárez, Nick Castellanos, Jesse Winker, Amir Garrett, and Sonny Gray many no longer be part of the rivalry, perhaps some of the new additions will have a chip on their shoulder heading into the series.
Let's be bold. Look for the Cincinnati Reds to sweep the brief two-game set against the Cleveland Guardians. Additionally, a victory today would be Cincinnati's third in their last four home openers.