2 Reds players who should have their contract extension talks paused & 1 that should intensify
The Cincinnati Reds are beginning to get contributions from some players on the roster that the front office and ownership consider key pieces for success in the future.
Cincinnati, just last month, locked up one of their biggest stars by signing Hunter Greene to a six-year contract. There've been whispers that the club is looking to the same with other players who will part of the Reds core going forward.
But before committing to some of these players for the long haul, perhaps the Reds front office should take a breath and let the process play out a little bit more. Which two players should have contract extension talks paused for now, and with which player should the Reds intensify their negotiations?
The Reds should pause contract extension talks with LHP Nick Lodolo.
This is not an overreaction to Nick Lodolo's most recent injury, though that certainly has to play a factor in the decision making. The Cincinnati Reds should pause contract negotiations with Lodolo for multiple reasons.
First and foremost has to be his production, or lack thereof this season. The strikeouts are up (12.32 K/9), the walks are down (2.62BB/9), but Lodolo is getting hit hard and taken deep (2.62 HR/9). Lodolo is seeing 27-percent of fly balls hit go out of the yard. That's an insane number that was at 15.1-percent last season according to FanGraphs.
One would expect to see those numbers return to normal, and for all we know, that lingering injury that now has Lodolo on the IL was the cause for all of his struggles. Either way, until Lodolo returns to the mound and proves that his struggles this season are behind him, the Reds should pause any sort of contract negotiations.
Injuries have to factor in, as well. Let's not forget that Nick Lodolo missed over two months of action last season due to injury and did have a few hiccups in the minors as well. The best ability is avail-ability, and until Lodolo proves otherwise, the Cincinnati Reds should be cautious.
The Reds should pause contract extension talks with C/ DH Tyler Stephenson.
The Cincinnati Reds came into the 2023 season looking to protect one of their best hitters. Tyler Stephenson was informed before the season that he'd no longer be playing exclusively behind the plate. Instead, he's been sharing catching duties with Luke Maile and Curt Casali while also acting as the team's DH and seeing time at first base.
The idea of Stephenson transitioning from a catcher into a first baseman sounded great until last August when the Reds traded for Christian Encarnacion-Strand. While Joey Votto has yet to play in what's likely his final season in Cincinnati, Encarnacion-Strand has been taking the majority of reps at first base down at Triple-A Louisville this season.
Encarnacion-Strand's dominance down on the farm will eventually translate into a major league call-up. But if Encarnacion-Strand is to log most of his innings at first base, what's Stephenson to do on the days he's not behind the plate?
Of course the Reds could plug Stephenson into the DH role, but Cincinnati is not a franchise that is likely to pay top-dollar for a player that only swings the bat and doesn't play defense. Speaking of which, Stephenson's defensive has been below-average this season. So has his framing of pitches according to FanGraphs.
Then you have the matter of Stephenson's bat letting him down thus far in 2023. The 26-year-old has a wRC+ below 100 and has really not tapped into that power either. Is it due to last year's injury? Perhaps. But that brings us right back to another reason to avoid contract talks at this time.
If Tyler Stephenson rebounds, and gets back to the player that Reds Country knows and loves, then perhaps it's worth negotiating a long-term contract during the offseason. But there are just too many variables at play right now for the Reds to commit a lot of zeroes to Stephenson's paycheck.
The Reds should intensify contract extension talks with 2B Jonathan India.
I don't want to hear about Jonathan India's defense. The former first-round pick is never going to be an elite defender, but if India can make the routine plays, he's got a spot on my team every day of the week.
India is back to his 2021 self. That season, the Reds second baseman used an offensive onslaught after being promoted to the team's leadoff and rode it all the way to the Rookie of the Year trophy.
Last season was an anomaly for the 26-year-old. India came into his sophomore season looking to pound 25-plus home runs and swing for the fences. Instead, India was convinced that the additional muscle he put on during the 2021-22 offseason contributed to his injuries and poor performance.
But 2023 has been a return to normal for the former Florida Gator. Sure, we can talk about WAR, exit velocity, wOBA, or any other statistic that you want to refer to. But it's the intangibles that India brings that are on another level.
After last season, this year's Reds team needed an injection of leadership. Jonathan India has provided that. The infielder is a spark atop the lineup who expects results from himself and holds his teammates accountable. His personality is infectious, and that's just something you can't teach.
There's no need for the Cincinnati Reds to sign Jonathan India to some 10-year contract or anything of that sort. But a four-year deal with a team option for a fifth season would buy out India's arbitration years, and give the Reds cost certainty heading into the future.
India is represented by Scott Boras, so it can be tough to get a contract extension done without hitting the open market. But the Reds already have their star pitcher locked up for the next several seasons, it's time to extend their star hitter as well.