Reds: 3 areas Cincinnati needs to clean up heading into May

Cincinnati Reds relief pitcher Amir Garrett (50) walks to the dugout after surrendering a three-run home run.
Cincinnati Reds relief pitcher Amir Garrett (50) walks to the dugout after surrendering a three-run home run.
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CINCINNATI, OHIO – APRIL 20: Luis Castillo #58 of the Cincinnati Reds reacts. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
CINCINNATI, OHIO – APRIL 20: Luis Castillo #58 of the Cincinnati Reds reacts. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images) /

The Cincinnati Reds have had a roller coaster month to begin the 2021 season. We’ve seen this year’s squad win six consecutive games and then lose seven in a row. Consistency is certainly lacking, but it’s still early and David Bell along with his coaching staff have plenty of time to figure things out over the summer.

That said, the Reds can’t just sit on their hands, and some areas of concern must be addressed as the calendar flips from April to May. As Cincinnati embarks on the second month of the 2021 season, what are the the three biggest issues that must be ironed out before the dog days of summer descend upon the Queen City?

1. Reds starter Luis Castillo must return to form.

One of the biggest issues during the first month of the season has been the disappointing play of Cincinnati’s ace Luis Castillo. Disappointing might not even be a strong enough word to describe the paltry play we’ve seen from La Piedra during the month of April.

Castillo has pitched in five games and owns a 6.29 ERA. The right-hander has struck out just 19 batters over 24.1 innings of work. His 32 hits allowed are the third-highest in the league behind Antonio Senzatela and Zach Eflin. Castillo has also surrendered five home runs. Castillo gave up just five homers all of last season.

The Reds are getting great production from Tyler Mahle and Wade Miley. I think it’s fair to say that Jeff Hoffman has exceeded expectations, and after Wednesday’s performance, Reds Country has to be happy with what they saw from Sonny Gray.

But, if this team is going to make some noise in the National League Central, Luis Castillo must play up to his ability. According to FanGraphs, Castillo’s strikeout-rate has dropped from 30.5% (2020) to 17.5% (2021). Castillo has reduced the usage of his fastball and relied more heavily on his changeup.

While his off-speed stuff is second-to-none, locating his fastball is key to Castillo’s success. There’s also been a drop in velocity, which may concerning if it continues. For the Reds to be competitive this season, Luis Castillo must return to form, and fast.

Cincinnati Reds relief pitcher Amir Garrett (50) walks to the dugout after surrendering a three-run home run.
Cincinnati Reds relief pitcher Amir Garrett (50) walks to the dugout after surrendering a three-run home run. /

2. The Reds must find a reliable closer.

I have no problem with David Bell trotting a mix of Amir Garrett, Sean Doolittle, and Lucas Sims during the first month of the season. After the team traded away Raisel Iglesias this past offseason, the closer’s role was up for grabs.

However, as we enter the month of May, it’s apparent that Bell cannot count on AG; at least not right now. Garrett has been a shadow of himself during the early-going, posting a 12.27 ERA over 7.1 innings and blowing two save opportunities. While Garrett had hoped to lock the position down, he looks to be ticketed a middle relief for the time being.

Doolittle has seen the field 11 times and it’s been a mixed bag for the veteran left-hander. Doolittle has a 4.66 ERA through the first month of the season and 13 punch outs through 9 innings. Doolittle’s splits reflect what you’d expect from a LOOGY; with a slash line of .176/.222/.235 against lefties and .316/.440/.579 versus right-handed batters.

Lucas Sims is the guy that David Bell should turn to with the game on the line. The right-hander notched his first career save during the month of April, and the former Atlanta Braves prospect has looked sharp in the early-going.

While Sims ERA (6.23) ballooned following a poor outing versus the Arizona Diamondbacks on April 22nd, the 26-year-old responded with a stellar performance against the World Champion Dodgers, punching out four the six batters he faced on Monday night. Sims has a ridiculous 42.9% strikeout-rate according to FanGraphs. Sims should be Bell’s go-to guy late in games.

Cincinnati Reds third baseman Eugenio Suarez (7) hits a groundball and reached base on an errant throw.
Cincinnati Reds third baseman Eugenio Suarez (7) hits a groundball and reached base on an errant throw. /

3. The Reds need better production from the cleanup spot.

Whether you want to blame the player, the manager, or the owner is irrelevant. The bottom line is, the Cincinnati Reds need better production out of the No. 4 hole in the lineup. Eugenio Suarez has been a mainstay at that spot for the majority of this season, but of late, we’ve seen David Bell try a different spot in the order for his shortstop.

I’d like to think that Suarez will eventually emerge from his slump and begin to crush opposing pitchers as he’s done over the better part of his career. Unfortunately, Geno is hitting just .125 on the season, has just one game in which he’s had multiple hits, and is 6-for-63 (.095) over the last 16 games. In that span, Suarez has struck out 28 times. That’s a 44.4% strikeout-rate.

On the season, the No. 4 hole in Cincinnati’s lineup is slashing just .143/.255/.319. The .573 OPS is the worst in the lineup outside of the No. 9 spot (.556 OPS) in the batting order. The only promising aspect of the cleanup spot in the Reds order is that the No. 4 hole leads the team in walks with 13.

Bell seems to be trying to coax Suarez’s bat along while not totally disabling his offense. We’ve seen Nick Senzel and Alex Blandino snag a few starts in the leadoff spot in place Winker, which has caused Geno to be bumped down in the batting order.

The Reds skipper has tried to find ways to alternate between left-handed and right-handed bats atop the batting order, and following Senzel’s 4-for-4 performance on Wednesday, it stands to reason that Bell might try the former first-rounder as the Reds’ leadoff hitter going forward.

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The Cincinnati Reds cannot afford to take Eugenio Suarez’s bat out of the lineup all together. You have to think that eventually Geno will come around. But, for now, perhaps the best spot for Suarez to hit is No. 5 or 6 in the batting order.

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