Cincinnati Reds: Adding Nicholas Castellanos does not necessitate a trade

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS - AUGUST 30: Nicholas Castellanos #6 of the Chicago Cubs hits two run home run in the 1st inning against the Milwaukee Brewers at Wrigley Field on August 30, 2019 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)
CHICAGO, ILLINOIS - AUGUST 30: Nicholas Castellanos #6 of the Chicago Cubs hits two run home run in the 1st inning against the Milwaukee Brewers at Wrigley Field on August 30, 2019 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)
3 of 4
Next
MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN – SEPTEMBER 05: Nicholas Castellanos #6 of the Chicago Cubs hits a single in the fifth inning against the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park on September 05, 2019 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images)
MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN – SEPTEMBER 05: Nicholas Castellanos #6 of the Chicago Cubs hits a single in the fifth inning against the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park on September 05, 2019 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images) /

The Cincinnati Reds are the frontrunners to sign Nicholas Castellanos. But, adding the outfielder doesn’t necessarily mean a trade is on the horizon.

The Cincinnati Reds are rumored to be the frontrunners for Nicholas Castellanos. Currently, the Reds outfield is stacked with players who’ll be battling for playing time. If Castellanos is added to the mix, a trade becomes more likely, but not necessary. Cincinnati has options beyond trading away some of their talented outfielders.

If Castellanos joins the Reds, playing time will be at a premium. Cincinnati already signed Shogo Akiyama to a three-year/$21M contract earlier this offseason. One can bet that Akiyama will be a regular in the Reds lineup, likely hitting at or near the top of the batting order.

But that’s not all. Nick Senzel, Jesse Winker, Phillip Ervin, Aristides Aquino and Travis Jankowski are all on the 40-man roster as well. While the odds of Scott Schebler making the squad are very slim, he, along with Rule 5 Draftee Mark Payton will also be in spring camp with an eye towards making the Opening Day roster.

The Reds outfield is overcrowded already. If Cincinnati is fortunate enough to add Nicholas Castellanos, a trade becomes necessary, right? I wouldn’t go that far. While the chances of Cincinnati trading away one or more of their outfielders becomes more likely if Castellanos joins the team, it’s not a surefire bet. Let’s explore some options.

MIAMI, FLORIDA – AUGUST 27: Nick Senzel #15 of the Cincinnati Reds celebrates with teammates after hitting a two-run home run in the sixth inning against the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park on August 27, 2019 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images)
MIAMI, FLORIDA – AUGUST 27: Nick Senzel #15 of the Cincinnati Reds celebrates with teammates after hitting a two-run home run in the sixth inning against the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park on August 27, 2019 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images) /

Option 1: Move Nick Senzel to the infield

Shogo Akiyama was primarily a centerfielder over in Japan, and a lot of fans and baseball experts predict he’ll do the same for Cincinnati. There’s little doubt Akiyama could play center field in the relatively small outfield of Great American Ball Park, but Nick Senzel might have something to say about that.

Last year, the Reds invested a lot of time and resources in helping shape the former No. 2 overall pick into a serviceable centerfielder. The 24-year-old was not an elite defender, but showed the wherewithal to be a competent outfielder. The move was made because Eugenio Suárez occupies Senzel’s natural position and the Reds wanted the rookie’s bat in the lineup.

Which Reds have minor-league options remaining?. Must Read

Okay, no big deal. If Cincinnati wants to keep Senzel as the team’s primary centerfielder, then Akiyama can slide over to left field, right? After all, a lot of skilled centerfielders have switched to a corner outfield position over the years. An outfield comprised of Senzel (center), Akiyama (left) and Castellanos (right) sounds pretty good, right?

The problem is, that still leaves three very talented outfielders (Aristides Aquino, Jesse Winker and Phillip Ervin) without a regular spot in the lineup. Perhaps the solution is moving Nick Senzel back to the infield. Senzel spent his entire college and professional career, until last season, on the infield dirt.

Whether the Reds decide to shuffle around the likes of Suárez or Mike Moustakas in order to find the best spot for all three players, there’s little doubt that all three could find a place to play. Could Senzel make the move to shortstop? Might the Reds entertain the idea of Geno returning to his previous position? It’s an idea worth exploring. For now, Freddy Galvis is the starting shortstop.

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS – SEPTEMBER 17: Aristides Aquino #44 of the Cincinnati Reds hits a two run home run in the 1st inning against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on September 17, 2019 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)
CHICAGO, ILLINOIS – SEPTEMBER 17: Aristides Aquino #44 of the Cincinnati Reds hits a two run home run in the 1st inning against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on September 17, 2019 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images) /

Option 2: Start Aristides Aquino in Triple-A to begin the season

Wait a minute. Are we just going to ignore what Aristides Aquino did during the month of August last season? I mean, c’mon. The Punisher broke several major league records en route to the Player of the Month. Aquino hit .320 with 14 home runs and 33 RBIs in 29 games and ended the month with a 1.158 OPS.

Unfortunately, Aquino’s phenomenal month of August did not bleed into September. The Punisher went 20-for102 down the stretch and finished September with a .619 OPS and just four homers. Still, Aquino finished the 2019 with 1.4 WAR and a 122 OPS+. That has to count for something, and would seem criminal not to play Aquino on a regular basis, right?

Let’s be clear, I’m a big fan of Aquino and think he can be a star. While some may point to the fact of him being a late-bloomer, there’s also the idea that after a red-hot start to his 2019 campaign, opposing pitchers began to figure out how to pitch to The Punisher.

Aquino is going to have to figure out how to hit the breaking ball. If a pitcher fell behind Aquino, the right-handed slugger had the advantage. However, Aquino had a 26.7% strikeout-rate according to FanGraphs. Compare that to Jesse Winker (15.6%) and Phillip Ervin (24.2%), and it could be argued that Aquino still needs more time at the minor-league level.

Aristides Aquino has one minor-league option remaining, and perhaps the prudent thing for the Reds to do, is to send Aquino down to Triple-A Louisville to begin the 2020 season. A lot of fans may scoff at the idea, but it could make a lot of sense. How Aquino performs in spring training will be a good indicator of what we can expect from The Punisher in 2020.

CINCINNATI, OH – AUGUST 17: Aristides Aquino #44, Nick Senzel #15 and Phillip Ervin #6 of the Cincinnati Reds celebrate after the game against the St. Louis Cardinals at Great American Ball Park on August 17, 2019 in Cincinnati, Ohio. The Reds won 6-1. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images)
CINCINNATI, OH – AUGUST 17: Aristides Aquino #44, Nick Senzel #15 and Phillip Ervin #6 of the Cincinnati Reds celebrate after the game against the St. Louis Cardinals at Great American Ball Park on August 17, 2019 in Cincinnati, Ohio. The Reds won 6-1. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images) /

Option 3: Keep the overcrowded outfield intact

Strange as this idea may sound, it could actually work. No one among the Reds outfield is what you’d call a complete player. While one player may be a great defender, he may struggle with consistency at the plate. Where another player might rake against left-handers, he falls apart with a righty on the mound. Perhaps the Reds could keep six outfielders heading into 2020.

You can see the quandary the Cincinnati Reds may face if Castellanos signs. The Reds would have six talented outfielders vying for three spots. Of course injuries happen and the rosters are expanding from 25 to 26, but juggling the lineups so that every player finds an adequate amount of playing time will be a tough task for David Bell.

That said, one thing we learned about Bell after last year is that he loves the double-switch and finds a way for nearly every player to get onto the field in some capacity. A team typically carries five outfielders, but having that extra roster spot would enable Cincinnati to keep all six.

Given the recent injury history of Winker and Senzel, would it really be wise to count on one of those players to be available for an entire season? Over the past two seasons, Winker has totaled 619 at-bats, finishing 2018 and 2019 on the injured list. Senzel has seen his fair share of freak injuries over the past two seasons as well, including two bouts with vertigo.

Where Winker struggled against left-handers in 2019, Phillip Ervin absolutely dismantled them to the tune of .349/.411/.628 with 4 doubles, 4 triples, 4 home runs and 13 RBIs. Having a skilled hitter like Ervin, who can play all three outfield spots would be a fantastic option late in games.

When the games shift an American League park for interleague play, take your pick of who’d suit up as the Reds designated hitter. With the subpar defense of both Winker and Castellanos, either one would be a prime candidate, while Aquino could fill in admirably in right field.

Next. 3 free agents the Reds could sign before camp

A trade could be very likely if Nicholas Castellanos signs with the Cincinnati Reds. In fact, I think it’s the right move. A player like Jesse Winker could fetch the Reds a nice return, and Nick Senzel packaged with a prospect or two could land Cincinnati a rising star. However, just because the Reds sign Castellanos, doesn’t mean a trade is a must.

Next