Reds vs. Twins: Pitching preview, prediction, and more

MINNEAPOLIS, MN - SEPTEMBER 27: Miguel Sano #22 of the Minnesota Twins talks with Joey Votto #19 of the Cincinnati Reds. (Photo by Brace Hemmelgarn/Minnesota Twins/Getty Images)
MINNEAPOLIS, MN - SEPTEMBER 27: Miguel Sano #22 of the Minnesota Twins talks with Joey Votto #19 of the Cincinnati Reds. (Photo by Brace Hemmelgarn/Minnesota Twins/Getty Images) /
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Luis Castillo #58 of the Cincinnati Reds pitches.
CHICAGO, ILLINOIS – JULY 29: Luis Castillo #58 of the Cincinnati Reds pitches. (Photo by Quinn Harris/Getty Images) /

Previewing the pitching matchups: Reds vs. Twins.

Tyler Mahle (8-3 3.71 ERA) takes the mound in tonight’s opener opposing Kenta Maeda (4-4 4.40 ERA) of the Twins. Following a rough month of starts, Mahle appears to have regained his footing over his last two outings.

Tossing 11 innings, the Reds right-hander has allowed just two runs, but inefficiency continues to plague Mahle. The California native threw 103 pitches over six innings last week against the Cubs after a 95 pitch five-inning performance versus the Cardinals.

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This will be Mahle’s second start against the Twins this year. On June 21st, he completed just four innings as he surrendered three runs on five hits while also issuing three free passes. Despite the high pitch counts, the 26-year-old has already established a career-high with 133 strikeouts on the season.

Kenta Maeda is coming off a fantastic July. Making five starts, he compiled a 2.15 ERA over 29.1 innings while allowing just 18 hits. However, the Japanese import has struggled away from Target Field this season.

In 11 road starts, the 33-year-old right-hander has a 5.50 ERA allowing 56 hits, including 11 gopher balls, in 54 frames. Maeda has made one career start at GABP, hurling five innings of one-run ball as he picked up the victory in June of 2018 as a member of the Los Angeles Dodgers.

David Bell will hand the ball to Luis Castillo for tomorrow’s matinee series finale. Twins manager Rocco Baldelli has yet to name a starter for Wednesday’s contest. It’s difficult to be much better than La Piedra’s been the past two months.

Since June 1st Castillo has a 1.95 ERA in 11 starts while holding the opposition to a ridiculously paltry .193/.286/.266 slash line in 69.1 innings. The 28-year-old right-hander is also averaging 9.5 K’s per nine frames with a 1.11 WHIP.  That will do, Luis. That will do.