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	<title>Blog Red Machine &#187; ESPN</title>
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	<description>A Cincinnati Reds Fan Site - News, Blogs, Opinion and More</description>
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		<title>Week 2: Bloated Bullpen ERAs, 2 Outs w/ RISP Woes</title>
		<link>http://blogredmachine.com/2013/04/15/week-2-bloated-bullpen-eras-2-outs-w-risp-woes/</link>
		<comments>http://blogredmachine.com/2013/04/15/week-2-bloated-bullpen-eras-2-outs-w-risp-woes/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Apr 2013 13:27:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tyler Grote</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Reds]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogredmachine.com/?p=11414</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[After the weekend sweep at the hands of the Pirates, the Reds find themselves two games under .500 and actively contributing more than they&#8217;d like to a growing Disabled List. Johnny Cueto becomes the latest luxury asset that the Reds will go without as he goes to the 15-day because of a strained lat. Because [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>After the weekend sweep at the hands of the Pirates, the Reds find themselves two games under .500 and actively contributing more than they&#8217;d like to a growing Disabled List. Johnny Cueto becomes the latest luxury asset that the Reds will go without as he goes to the 15-day because of a strained lat.</p>
<p>Because it&#8217;s April 15th, there should hardly be a double-take when the standings illustrate a third place team behind the two teams that just took five of six games from the Reds. But in a season that encompasses seven months and 162 games, what is else there to do? Let&#8217;s talk about the current trends that have the Reds where they are.</p>
<ul>
<li>The cumulative bullpen ERA is 4.82, which is good for 22nd in MLB. That number is sure to change over the season, but more alarming than the bullpen&#8217;s ERA are the five losses it&#8217;s surrendered this early in the season. No bullpen in baseball has surrendered more losses to this point. Hoover continues to struggle early in the season &#8211; he has three of the pen&#8217;s five losses. Broxton and Simon have lost the last two games. Perhaps the injury of lefty specialist Sean Marshall is starting to takes its toll, though most of the main contributors of the Pirates sudden late-game charge were righties.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>At this point last year, the Reds had only amassed 33 runs. Now, at 65 runs scored, the Reds&#8217; offense sits 5th in MLB, a promising feat this early, largely because of the unprecedented leadoff play of Shin Soo-Choo, who is hitting .354. The problem arises in clutch situations. The Reds are an MLB worst 6-52 (.115) with 2-outs/RISP, including 18 K. Jay Bruce has 14 of those 52 plate appearances &#8211; he&#8217;s recorded just one hit and seven strikeouts in that pivotal scenario. Batting fifth, it&#8217;s not hard to see why the Reds are struggling so much in this category.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Reds starting pitching hasn&#8217;t performed that well either. The cumulative ERA for the rotation is 4.40, 20th in baseball. Mike Leake&#8217;s 6.75, Homer Bailey&#8217;s 5.73 and Bronson Arroyo&#8217;s 5.25 ERAs are pretty indicative of why the Reds are where they are. Latos and Cueto are performing as expected &#8211; 3.26, 2.60 ERAs, respectively. But with Cueto going to the DL, the Reds are probably going to call <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/cingrto01.shtml">Tony Cingrani </a>to fill the void for the ace until he&#8217;s ready to return. He was pulled after two perfect innings in AAA yesterday and is reportedly en route to join the team.</li>
</ul>
<div>All things considered, it&#8217;s really no surprise the Reds are where they are. But at this point in the season, making any alarming assertions or roster-altering moves (such as demoting a player, or firing a manager) would be a bit premature. All the aforementioned data is merely an indicator of why the team is where they are, on April 15th.</div>
<div></div>
<div>This isn&#8217;t our first five-game losing streak in Cincinnati, is it? Just last August your Reds dusted the Cubs 10-8 to snap a five-game losing streak only months before they were set to play in October.</div>
<div></div>
<div>Angst is to be expected, just don&#8217;t let it cloud your judgement. A ten-game home stand that includes four games with the Vice City Marlins may be just what the doctor ordered.</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Reds 3 Dot Cafe&#8230;Rolen, Remaining $, ESPN Snubbing</title>
		<link>http://blogredmachine.com/2013/01/21/reds-3-dot-cafe-rolen-remaining-espn-snubbing/</link>
		<comments>http://blogredmachine.com/2013/01/21/reds-3-dot-cafe-rolen-remaining-espn-snubbing/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Jan 2013 15:33:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tyler Grote</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Reds]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogredmachine.com/?p=10332</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s January 21st. It&#8217;s getting painfully cold and I&#8217;m tired of using the ice scraper every morning. Worse, in the world of baseball, there&#8217;s precisely nothing intriguing to talk about. So, in the interest of keeping the Reds dialogue going, let&#8217;s take a visit to the 3-dot cafe and ramble off some thoughts&#8230; Why is [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s January 21st. It&#8217;s getting painfully cold and I&#8217;m tired of using the ice scraper every morning. Worse, in the world of baseball, there&#8217;s precisely nothing intriguing to talk about. So, in the interest of keeping the Reds dialogue going, let&#8217;s take a visit to the 3-dot cafe and ramble off some thoughts&#8230;</p>
<div id="attachment_10467" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 310px"><a href="http://cdn.fansided.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/64/files/2013/01/6612534.jpg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-10467" title="MLB: Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds" src="http://cdn.fansided.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/64/files/2013/01/6612534-300x450.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="450" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Sep 27, 2012; Cincinnati, OH, USA; Cincinnati Reds third baseman Scott Rolen (27) sits in the dugout during the first inning against the Milwaukee Brewers at Great American Ball Park. (Frank Victores-USA TODAY Sports)</p></div>
<p><strong>Why is Scott Rolen still in Reds headlines?</strong> Wasn&#8217;t this pretty much a forgone conclusion that Rolen was hanging it up after the season? If you&#8217;re Scott, why do you want to stay? He&#8217;s hit .242 and .245 consecutively the past two years&#8230;He has an emerging young slugger behind him that will officially be the starter on Opening Day&#8230; .222 in the months of September and October, when runs come at a premium&#8230;This was supposed to be an open and shut case&#8230;News has it, <a href="http://www.latimes.com/sports/dodgersnow/la-sp-dn-dodgers-scott-rolen-20130115,0,5377527.story">the Dodgers have expressed some interest</a> in the Ol&#8217; Jasper native&#8230;Good for them&#8230;It&#8217;s warmer in California&#8230;BTW: Wasn&#8217;t the signing of Jack Hannahan the official goodbye to Rolen now that Frazier&#8217;s back-up is spoken for?</p>
<p><strong>$5 Million Dollars Left&#8230; </strong>to spend, according to the <a href="http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1459221-projecting-how-much-payroll-all-30-mlb-teams-still-have-to-spend-entering-2013/page/8" target="_blank">Bleacher Report.</a> So after arbitration and signing some key free agents, the Reds will have about $5 million left to spend&#8230;the same report suggests the Reds are interested in Freddy Garcia. From CBS&#8217; John Heyman: <a dir="ltr" href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%23twins&amp;src=hash" data-query-source="hashtag_click"><s>#</s><strong>twins</strong></a>, <a dir="ltr" href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%23rox&amp;src=hash" data-query-source="hashtag_click"><s>#</s><strong>rox</strong></a>, <a dir="ltr" href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%23reds&amp;src=hash" data-query-source="hashtag_click"><s>#</s><strong>reds</strong></a> among teams to check in on freddy garcia, veteran starter who knows how to pitch (10 W avg last 3 yrs)</p>
<p><strong>Reds Get Iced on ESPN&#8217;s Sunday Night Baseball&#8230;</strong> which is a joke. I get that I&#8217;m from Cincinnati&#8230;I get that I hold a natural bias&#8230; But I also get that this team is considered a World Series favorite, by more than just folks following the Reds&#8230;and two teams that will grace the national audience with their participation, instead of the Reds? The Chicago Cubs, and the Houston Astros&#8230;two models of baseball excellence&#8230;How is it that Major League Baseball routinely fails to effectively market its own product?</p>
<p>Anyways, back to your regularly scheduled Monday&#8230;Pitchers and Catchers has to be getting close.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>In Defense of the Recent &#8220;In Defense of Baker&#8221; Article</title>
		<link>http://blogredmachine.com/2012/08/16/in-defense-of-the-recent-in-defense-of-baker-article/</link>
		<comments>http://blogredmachine.com/2012/08/16/in-defense-of-the-recent-in-defense-of-baker-article/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Aug 2012 15:25:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tyler Grote</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[Dusty Baker]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogredmachine.com/?p=9088</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[You know how people who are getting ready to say something incredibly insulting lead off with &#8220;no disrespect, but&#8221; or maybe &#8220;no offense&#8221; &#8211; as in, hey no offense, but I hate everything about you. I said no offense, so it totally negates anything remotely insulting about that remark. Eating crow isn&#8217;t fun. People don&#8217;t [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You know how people who are getting ready to say something incredibly insulting lead off with &#8220;no disrespect, but&#8221; or maybe &#8220;no offense&#8221; &#8211; as in, hey no offense, but I hate everything about you.  I said no offense, so it totally negates anything remotely insulting about that remark.  </p>
<div id="attachment_9124" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 216px"><a href="http://cdn.fansided.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/64/files/2012/08/4746214.jpg"><img src="http://cdn.fansided.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/64/files/2012/08/4746214-206x300.jpg" alt="" title="MLB: Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs" width="206" height="300" class="size-medium wp-image-9124" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">July 3, 2010; Chicago, IL, USA;  Cincinnati Reds manager Dusty Baker (12) prior to a game against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. (Dennis Wierzbicki-US PRESSWIRE)</p></div>
<p>Eating crow isn&#8217;t fun.  People don&#8217;t like to do it.  Those who aren&#8217;t toting around an ego the size of a Ford F150 find digesting their own words to be a little easier.  One Reds writer made a decent effort.  In an article entitled, &#8220;In Defense of Baker,&#8221; a writer who is well-known for his blog&#8217;s nightly criticism and questioning of Baker&#8217;s in-game competence makes a really solid effort to rectify the multitude of complaints Cincinnatians (including him) have of the skipper.  </p>
<p>Hey, no offense. But it was, well, less than convincing.</p>
<p>If you haven&#8217;t read so yet, check <a href="http://espn.go.com/blog/sweetspot/post/_/id/28041/in-defense-of-dusty-baker"> it out.</a> </p>
<p>We should start by clarifying a few things &#8211; namely, the title.  This isn&#8217;t a defense of Baker.  Well, it is in a way.  This is the defense you get when you can&#8217;t afford an attorney and are forced to rely on the state&#8217;s defense attorney who is probably carrying eight other cases other than yours.  This isn&#8217;t a defense &#8211; more like a plea bargain.</p>
<p>The first three paragraphs of the article essentially undermine the competence of Dusty Baker for his in-game strategy.  One of those awkward &#8220;no offense&#8221; moments.  Let&#8217;s talk about some of Chad&#8217;s points.</p>
<p><em>&#8220;Let&#8217;s be honest, Dusty remains pretty deficient in many of the areas that are obvious to people who actually, you know, watch the games.&#8221;</em></p>
<p>I watch the games.  I don&#8217;t see these glaring deficiencies, but it&#8217;s probably because I&#8217;m not squinting my eyes trying to imagine they&#8217;re there.</p>
<p><em>&#8220;Baker&#8217;s in-game management has not improved one iota over the years. He insists on using leadoff hitters with sub-.300 OBPs. His catcher must always bat eighth and his shortstop must always hit first or second. Those are his rules, and Baker rarely wavers, no matter the personnel at his disposal.&#8221;</em></p>
<p>Let&#8217;s talk about that lead-off situation.  In all actuality, there hasn&#8217;t been a real lead-off hitter on this entire roster since&#8230;anyone?</p>
<div id="attachment_9125" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 310px"><a href="http://cdn.fansided.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/64/files/2012/08/4834086.jpg"><img src="http://cdn.fansided.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/64/files/2012/08/4834086-300x198.jpg" alt="" title="MLB: Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants" width="300" height="198" class="size-medium wp-image-9125" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">August 23, 2010; San Francisco, CA, USA; Cincinnati Reds manager Dusty Baker (top) watches from the dugout during the second inning against the San Francisco Giants at AT</p></div>
<p>Sure.  You&#8217;re saying &#8220;Brandon Phillips&#8221; in your head right now &#8211; only, he&#8217;s the guy who was making people pay for walking the best hitter in baseball continually.  Just so we&#8217;re clear, in 309 plate appearances at 4, Phillips is hitting .303 with 50 RBIs and 10 home runs.  He&#8217;s not going anywhere, unless someone like say Ryan Ludwick can finally solidify themselves as a real cleanup guy.  Any other ideas?  Anyone?</p>
<p>Then there&#8217;s the point about where Baker bats catchers and shortstops, &#8220;regardless of personnel,&#8221; at the 2/8 spots.  Catchers always 8.  SS 2. Solid example of how people often prefer rhetoric to reality.  Anyone remember Paul Janish last year? Sure he had 40 ABs batting 2nd.  1 AB batting first.  280 batting 8th.  152 appearances batting 8th in 2010.  But why let facts get in the way of juicy criticism.  And Hanigan?  The guy that has become the new embodiment of criticism towards Baker?  Over/under on how many additional hits it would take to score Hanigan?  I&#8217;ll start it at 3.</p>
<p>Don&#8217;t stop there though.  Check Baker&#8217;s lineups with the <a href="http://sanfrancisco.giants.mlb.com/sf/history/opening_day_lineups.jsp">Giants</a> and <a href="http://chicago.cubs.mlb.com/chc/history/opening_day_lineups.jsp">Cubs</a>.  </p>
<p>According to Dodson, Dusty Baker is incapable of properly executing strategy.  Instead of making tough decisions, Baker has some old template that he refers to when making a lineup.  Absurd how little credit a manager with the 20th most wins in the history of MLB receives.  I often wonder how Baker manages to not trip over his own feet when getting out of bed in the morning without a template for how to properly navigate his legs.</p>
<p><em>&#8220;Further, his bullpen usage has been curious, to put it lightly. He uses Sean Marshall &#8212; one of the best relievers in either league over the past three years &#8212; as a situational lefty..&#8221;</em></p>
<p>It&#8217;s not every day you&#8217;ll hear people complaining about a bullpen that is statistically the best in baseball, but when it comes to Baker, nothing is out of bounds.  For the past two seasons, Marshall has turned in no more than 75 innings.  Currently, he has  44.2.  Even if Marshall pitches one inning every other game from here on out, he&#8217;ll finish with 67.  That&#8217;s the beauty of being in a bullpen loaded with options.  Unlike Marshall&#8217;s time with the Cubs, he is not the only option late in the game.</p>
<p>Dusty Baker has been dealing with inane criticism like this since he left Chicago, baseball&#8217;s purgatory, a town where anything from a goat to a fan sitting near the foul line are blamed for the misfortunes of the Cubs.  The manager is no exception.  While people love to bring up the fact that Baker was fired, it is worth mentioning that the four seasons he spent in Chicago make him the second-longest tenured manager in that city since the 60s.  Only Jim Rigglemen has lasted longer than Baker since the 60s in baseball&#8217;s Afghanistan.  </p>
<p>But none of that matters really.  Those who spend their time conjuring up absurd criticism for things that 29 other manager do in baseball aren&#8217;t looking for truth &#8211; just for satisfaction.  They know more than Baker.  Despite the fact that under Baker&#8217;s leadership, three different teams have gone to the postseason.  Despite the fact the he&#8217;s 20th all time in wins. </p>
<p>Is Baker a model manager?  What&#8217;s a model manager?  If you buy into the fact that these guys actually account for wins and losses, I have a bridge I&#8217;d like to sell you.  People simply invest too much stock in a baseball manager.  If it&#8217;s the manager, <strong>perhaps Milwaukee&#8217;s terrible season has more to do with Ron Roenicke becoming incompetent over night than it does the departure of Fielder, Greinke, and the disappointing season of Rickie Weeeks.  Maybe the Nationals&#8217; surge has more to do with Davey Johnson than it does one of the best rotations in all of baseball.  Brad Mills is behind the Astros struggles this year.</strong>  And the tooth fairy will pay you for any teeth you may lose.</p>
<p>The role of a manager is to keep guys rested, uphold team chemistry, and keep the focus.  At these things, Dusty Baker is World Class, which is why he&#8217;s won Manager of the Year on three different occasions.  Making lineups, rotation/bullpen decisions?  I promise you, the other 29 managers in baseball are all doing the same things.  </p>
<p>I never understood the dismissive arrogance portrayed when talking Baker.  &#8220;Those actually watching the game&#8221; clearly see the deficiencies Baker has.  Sure.  But those with access to the internet can clearly see otherwise.</p>
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