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	<title>Blog Red Machine &#187; 2013 free agents</title>
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		<title>Ludwick Still Talking with Reds</title>
		<link>http://blogredmachine.com/2012/11/29/ludwick-still-talking-with-reds/</link>
		<comments>http://blogredmachine.com/2012/11/29/ludwick-still-talking-with-reds/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Nov 2012 02:05:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Steve Engbloom</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[Ryan Ludwick]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[A couple of hours ago, John Fay revealed that left fielder Ryan Ludwick and the Cincinnati Reds &#8220;continue to try to work out a contract&#8221;.  The main obstacles would be two things: length and dollars.  No-brainers, I know. Jack Moore of CBSSports.com sees the Reds as one of four teams that can possibly sign Ludwick.  There [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A couple of hours ago, <a href="http://cincinnati.com/blogs/reds/2012/11/29/reds-ludwick-continue-to-talk/" target="_blank">John Fay revealed</a> that left fielder <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/l/ludwiry01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com" target="_blank">Ryan Ludwick</a></strong> and the Cincinnati Reds &#8220;continue to try to work out a contract&#8221;.  The main obstacles would be two things: length and dollars.  No-brainers, I know.</p>
<div id="attachment_9993" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 660px"><a href="http://cdn.fansided.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/64/files/2012/11/6650518.jpg"><img src="http://cdn.fansided.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/64/files/2012/11/6650518.jpg" alt="" title="MLB: NLDS-San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds" width="650" height="453" class="size-full wp-image-9993" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">(Andrew Weber-US PRESSWIRE)</p></div>
<p><a href="http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/blog/mlb-rumors/20977373/free-agent-preview-ryan-ludwick" target="_blank">Jack Moore of CBSSports.com </a>sees the Reds as one of four teams that can possibly sign Ludwick.  There are others are Red Sox, Rangers and Yankees.  No question all of the other three have the resources available to outbid the Reds especially when you take into account that Moore believes a two-year, $24MM deal with an option for a third year is what will land Ludwick.  I can see the Sawx and Rangers interest.  The Yankees seem to poke their nose everywhere.</p>
<p>Ludwick&#8217;s agent, Dan Horwits, would only cite that his client seeks a multi-year deal.  No mention of dollars.  No mention of the number of years.  That said, if Moore is correct in his estimate and it is $24MM over two years, I&#8217;m thinking that may be a little too steep for the Reds liking, even if you <em>don&#8217;t</em> include the option and whatever the amount of the buyout would be.</p>
<p>There is something to consider here.  With today&#8217;s trade of <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/spande01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com" target="_blank">Denard Span</a></strong> from the Minnesota Twins to the Washington Nationals, a coupe f things could happen here.</p>
<p>One.  The Reds become more aggressive in their pursuit of Ludwick, or&#8230;</p>
<p>Two, the Reds see that with Span landing in DC, there is a chance <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/morsemi01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com" target="_blank">Michael Morse</a></strong> is the odd man out in Washington.  That is, unless the Sawx snag <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/l/larocad01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com" target="_blank">Adam LaRoche</a></strong>.  <a href="http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/blog/jon-heyman/21192398/red-sox-now-talking-to-laroche-in-addition-to-napoli" target="_blank">There have been talks between the two parties</a>.  If LaRoche is not re-signed by the Nats, Morse will slide to first base, leaving the Reds potentially wanting.</p>
<p>Morse is scheduled to make $6.75MM next season on teh back end of a two-year, $10.5MM deal of his own.  Yes, he will be a free agent in 2014.  He would also be a potentially less expensive option than Ludwick.  We&#8217;ve read on many an occasion that $7MM is the likely starting point for Ludwick.</p>
<p>Then we could go through this process again after next season.</p>
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		<title>Reds and Free Agency: Low Risk, High Reward?</title>
		<link>http://blogredmachine.com/2012/11/11/reds-and-free-agency-low-risk-high-reward/</link>
		<comments>http://blogredmachine.com/2012/11/11/reds-and-free-agency-low-risk-high-reward/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 11 Nov 2012 13:55:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Steve Engbloom</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogredmachine.com/?p=9880</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Wouldn&#8217;t it be a great thing if the Reds could land someone that can produce in the way Ryan Ludwick did last season? I mean, in the end, Ludwick seemingly returned to his &#8220;former self&#8221; for around $3MM ($2MM base salary, $500k buyout, bonuses received). If only that same magic could be duplicated&#8230; Know what, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Wouldn&#8217;t it be a great thing if the Reds could land someone that can produce in the way <strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/l/ludwiry01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&#038;utm_source=direct&#038;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com">Ryan  Ludwick</a></strong> did last season?  I mean, in the end, Ludwick seemingly returned to his &#8220;former self&#8221; for around $3MM ($2MM base salary, $500k buyout, bonuses received).</p>
<p>If only that same magic could be duplicated&#8230;</p>
<p>Know what, it is possible.  Think about this.  The Reds were in hot pursuit of <strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/w/willijo03.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&#038;utm_source=direct&#038;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com">Josh  Willingham</a></strong>.  When he decided to head to Minnesota, the Reds leaned toward Ludwick.  In the end (and it might not be &#8220;the end&#8221;), it was a win-win situation.  The Reds had a left fielder, albeit for possibly only one season, and Ludwick re-established his game.</p>
<p>Low risk, high reward defined.</p>
<p>Are they any other potential Ludwick&#8217;s out there?  Sure.  Here&#8217;s six guys that could, and I want to stress could, have a bounce back season as a Red.  I&#8217;m not suggesting in any manner that the Reds definitely bring any of these guys in, but I&#8217;m also leaving the door ajar.  All have the good and the bad, but, when productive, they can enhance the Reds roster.</p>
<p><strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/sanchfr01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&#038;utm_source=direct&#038;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com">Freddy  Sanchez</a></strong> &#8211; Sanchez won the NL batting title in 2006 with a .344 batting average and led the league in doubles (53).  He is also a three-time All-Star.</p>
<p>With Sanchez, it&#8217;s only the last two seasons that have been interrupted.  In 2011, he dislocated his shoulder diving for a <strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/p/phillbr01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&#038;utm_source=direct&#038;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com">Brandon  Phillips</a></strong> grounder.  He would later require surgery.  Last season, Sanchez required back surgery and never played in an MLB game.  Aside from those injuries, Sanchez doesn&#8217;t have an extensive injury history.</p>
<p>He doesn&#8217;t strikeout at an extremely high rate (highest was 15.5% in &#8217;09) and he has played third base although he has been exclusively at second base since 2007.</p>
<p>Sanchez will be 35 in December.  With having third base in his background, Sanchez could be a back-up at both 2B and 3B, maybe even find the means to start at 3B and shift <strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/f/frazito01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&#038;utm_source=direct&#038;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com">Todd  Frazier</a></strong> to left field.  Yes, that is provided Ludwick goes elsewhere.  He would be an ideal #2 hitter.</p>
<p>Just gotta find that lead-off guy.</p>
<div id="attachment_9881" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 310px"><a href="http://cdn.fansided.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/64/files/2012/11/5525402.jpg"><img src="http://cdn.fansided.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/64/files/2012/11/5525402-300x212.jpg" alt="" title="MLB: Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians" width="300" height="212" class="size-medium wp-image-9881" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">(David Richard-US PRESSWIRE)</p></div>
<p><strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/sizemgr01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&#038;utm_source=direct&#038;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com">Grady  Sizemore</a></strong> &#8211; I have seen Sizemore&#8217;s name mentioned on more than one occasion.  While Sanchez doesn&#8217;t own an extensive injury history, Sizemore does.</p>
<p>2009:  elbow surgery, sports hernia surgery<br />
2010:  microfracture surgery on left knee<br />
2011:  second sports hernia surgery, injury to right knee<br />
2012:  back surgery and recurring issues with right knee; missed entire season</p>
<p>When Sizemore was healthy, he was arguably one of baseball&#8217;s most exciting and best players.  Some speculation was that Sizemore plays the game too hard and that has led to all the injuries he has suffered.  He hasn&#8217;t played more than 100 games since 2009.</p>
<p>The three-time All-Star, two-time Gold Glove winner and Silver Slugger is only 30.  Sizemore received $5MM last season.  Don&#8217;t see any team willing give him near that much for 2013.</p>
<p><strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/d/derosma01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&#038;utm_source=direct&#038;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com">Mark  DeRosa</a></strong> &#8211; Talk about defensive flexibility, DeRosa has it.  He&#8217;s played every position in his day except center field, catcher and pitcher.  One aspect of DeRosa that cannot be overstated is that despite his injuries this past season, DeRosa was a mentor to some of the younger players on that Nationals roster.  He could, in essence, replace a part of the potnetial departing leadership of <strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/r/rolensc01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&#038;utm_source=direct&#038;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com">Scott  Rolen</a></strong> and <strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/cairomi01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&#038;utm_source=direct&#038;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com">Miguel  Cairo</a></strong>.</p>
<p>Those injuries?  He had surgery in 2009 on his wrist.  It was discovered in 2010 that his &#8217;09 surgery was an utter failure and DeRosa would play in only 26 games in 2010.  During an at-bat in 2011, he re-injured the same wrist, but this time, a torn tendon was revealed.  That did not deter the Nats from bringing DeRosa into their clubhouse.</p>
<p>Early last season, DeRosa suffered an oblique strain and was a non-participant for the majority of the season.  Still, and I will mention again, he was important part of the Nats roster.</p>
<p><strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/bayja01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&#038;utm_source=direct&#038;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com">Jason  Bay</a></strong> &#8211; Remember the bit about Sizemore and when he&#8217;s healthy?  Same can be said about Bay.  Another former All-Star (three times) and Silver Slugger (&#8217;09) on the market.  What could Bay appealing to many teams is that he will receive all monies due him from the Mets.</p>
<p>Bay&#8217;s not looking for money, but merely a chance.</p>
<p>It was suggested that <a href="http://www.mlbinjurynews.com/2012/11/jason-bay-and-cincinnati-reds-medical.html" target="_blank">the Reds could be a perfect fit for Bay</a>, but I&#8217;m not totally on board with the reasoning.</p>
<p>The last three years have to be frustrating for Bay.  If you haven&#8217;t seen the video of his play from the 2010 season that led to his concussion, it&#8217;s not pretty by any means.  In fact, it&#8217;s a bit frightening.</p>
<p><iframe src='http://mlb.mlb.com/shared/video/embed/embed.html?content_id=10206385&#038;width=400&#038;height=224&#038;property=mlb' width='400' height='224' frameborder='0'>Your browser does not support iframes.</iframe></p>
<p>I wonder how many times that&#8217;s been viewed since Bay&#8217;s release?</p>
<p>But that wasn&#8217;t the end of the line for Bay and injuries.  In 2011, he suffered a rib injury, but managed to play in 123 games.  Wasn&#8217;t one of his better seasons either as Bay posted a triple slash of .245/.329/.374 with only 12 HR and 57 RBI.</p>
<p>2012 was another year and another rib injury.  This time, Bay broke a rib while attempting a catch against the San Francisco Giants.  This would lead to more missed time and more diminished returns for the Mets.  Last season, Bay appeared in only 70 games.</p>
<p>So why take a chance on Bay?  If all he wants is a chance for redemption, why not, I say.</p>
<p><strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/morgany01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&#038;utm_source=direct&#038;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com">Nyjer  Morgan</a></strong> &#8211; Look at the plus side first.</p>
<p>Morgan can play all three outfield positions.  He has a successful history batting at the top of the lineup (.283/.347/.361).  He is a well above average defensive center fielder.  He might not have the arm of <strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/stubbdr01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&#038;utm_source=direct&#038;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com">Drew  Stubbs</a></strong>, but he can cover as much ground.  See for yourself&#8230;</p>
<p><iframe src='http://mlb.mlb.com/shared/video/embed/embed.html?content_id=22601929&#038;width=400&#038;height=224&#038;property=mlb' width='400' height='224' frameborder='0'>Your browser does not support iframes.</iframe></p>
<p>I was at that game.  Simply astounding&#8230;</p>
<p>The negatives?  You know some of them.  The multiple alter egos (Tony Plush, Tony Gumbo) might not be a fit for the clubhouse.  Morgan also has a history of, shall we say, questionable decisions in regards to &#8220;going after&#8221; opposing players.  He will get under your skin in many ways.  Morgan is undoubtedly coming off his worst offensive season.</p>
<p>No one can question that Morgan has the ability.  It&#8217;s how he uses that ability.</p>
<p><strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/mcgehca01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&#038;utm_source=direct&#038;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com">Casey  McGehee</a></strong> &#8211; The Brewers grew disenchanted with McGehee following a less than spectacular 2011 season.  So much so that the Brew Crew signed free agent <strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/r/ramirar01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&#038;utm_source=direct&#038;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com">Aramis  Ramirez</a></strong> prior to 2012.  One of the best signs for this past season as Ramirez was arguably robbed of a Silver Slugger.  The Brewers shipped McGehee to Pittsburgh&#8230;who later sent him to the Yankees.</p>
<p>McGehee emerged in the 2009 season and built off that with a successful 2010 campaign.  In those two years, he compiled a slash of .291/.346/.477 with 39 HR and 170 RBI including driving in over 100 runs in 2010.  As you now know, the wheels fell off that wagon.</p>
<p>2012 was even more of a disaster for McGehee, and that could make him more than willing to take a minimal deal.  Having the ability to play third and first can&#8217;t hurt.  He&#8217;s no Gold Glover at third.</p>
<p>I am in no way suggesting that any of these players will have the season we recently saw from Ryan Ludwick.  That being said, it cannot be completely ruled out either.</p>
<p>Sometimes, players on a one-year, gotta prove myself deal <em>are</em> a good fit.</p>
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		<title>Reds and Free Agency: Interest in Michael Bourn?</title>
		<link>http://blogredmachine.com/2012/11/10/reds-interested-in-michael-bourn/</link>
		<comments>http://blogredmachine.com/2012/11/10/reds-interested-in-michael-bourn/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Nov 2012 13:55:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Steve Engbloom</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogredmachine.com/?p=9875</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Last season, there&#8217;s no question the Cincinnati Reds suffered from lack of production from atop its lineup. The stats are almost completely emblazoned into my brain. Last in the bigs in both batting average and on-base percentage. We don&#8217;t need the national type to constantly remind us of such. We witnessed it. It would be [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Last season, there&#8217;s no question the Cincinnati Reds suffered from lack of production from atop its lineup.  The stats are almost completely emblazoned into my brain.  Last in the bigs in both batting average and on-base percentage.  We don&#8217;t need the national type to constantly remind us of such.  We witnessed it.</p>
<div id="attachment_9876" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 310px"><a href="http://cdn.fansided.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/64/files/2012/11/6496138.jpg"><img src="http://cdn.fansided.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/64/files/2012/11/6496138-300x199.jpg" alt="" title="MLB: San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves" width="300" height="199" class="size-medium wp-image-9876" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">(Daniel Shirey-US PRESSWIRE)</p></div>
<p>It would be nice to have an established lead-off hitter.  Maybe that&#8217;s why there as been a little bit of chatter that the Reds are presumably interested in free agent center fielder <strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/bournmi01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&#038;utm_source=direct&#038;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com">Michael  Bourn</a></strong>.  On one hand, it could be a fit.  On some others, maybe not so much.</p>
<p>Bourn has been extremely more productive than any Reds lead-off guy since&#8230;</p>
<p>You get the picture.  Maybe that&#8217;s why <a href="http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/blog/danny-knobler/20905378/reds-still-looking-for-a-leadoff-man-have-interest-in-bourn" target="_blank">CBSSports.com&#8217;s Danny Knobler has his &#8220;sources&#8221; stating the Reds have interest</a>.  Add that Bourn owns multiple Gold Gloves (should have added another this year) and will steal a boatload of bases, too.  If you don&#8217;t have a legit lead-off hitter, why wouldn&#8217;t you have interest?</p>
<p>As I have previously said, you have to at least kick the tires.  That kicking could be why these &#8220;sources&#8221; tell Knobler of the interest.  Walt&#8217;s doing his due diligence.</p>
<p>Knobler does mention that the Reds have other needs: re-signing left fielder <strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/l/ludwiry01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&#038;utm_source=direct&#038;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com">Ryan  Ludwick</a></strong> and seeking a possible closer if they wish to move <strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/chapmar01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&#038;utm_source=direct&#038;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com">Aroldis  Chapman</a></strong> to the starting rotation.</p>
<p>Honestly, this doesn&#8217;t make sense.  I know the Reds are at a point of desperation regarding the lineup&#8217;s top spot, but is this truly even a legitimate possibility?</p>
<p>The Washington Nationals are considered the front-runners in the Bourn sweepstakes.  The Nats may not sign him to <a href="http://www.csnphilly.com/baseball-philadelphia-phillies/phillies-talk/Phillies-offseason-options-Michael-Bourn?blockID=796115&#038;feedID=693" target="_blank">the $100MM deal BOurn is alleged to be seeking</a>, but they will most likely be the most aggressive team as far as acquiring Bourn&#8217;s services.  They are willing to dish out large free agent deals.  Just ask <strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/w/werthja01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&#038;utm_source=direct&#038;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com">Jayson  Werth</a></strong> about that.</p>
<p>And glad you asked, Bourn and Werth are both represented by Scott Boras.</p>
<p>Now a question.  If the Reds have true interest in Bourn, then why consider the move of <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;id=id=hamilt002bil" target="_blank">Billy  Hamilton</a></strong> off shortstop in order to learn the outfield?  Do the Reds view Hamilton as being more than one year away?  Even if they do, would singing Bourn for more than two years make any sense then?  Even with <a href="http://mlbbuzz.yardbarker.com/blog/mlbbuzz/article/jocketty_reds_could_trade_shortstop_this_winter/12165043" target="_blank">the new mention by Jon Paul Morosi of FOX Sports that the Reds could make a trade that involves either</a> <strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/cozarza01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&#038;utm_source=direct&#038;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com">Zack  Cozart</a></strong> or <strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/g/gregodi01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&#038;utm_source=direct&#038;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com">Didi  Gregorius</a></strong>, this still doesn&#8217;t wash.</p>
<p>Bourn will assuredly seek a deal that&#8217;s longer than two years.  Speculation says five years, making any potential signing of Bourn seem even less likely.</p>
<p>One last thing.  Signing Michael  Bourn will completely nullify any chance of Ludwick returning.  In fact, I can say that the Reds chances of singing any other free agents, even at bargain money, are out the window.  You still need a left fielder&#8230;unless you are 100% confident <strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/h/heisech01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&#038;utm_source=direct&#038;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com">Chris  Heisey</a></strong> can fill those shoes.  </p>
<p>You still need at least one arm for the bullpen, preferably from the lefty side.  You don&#8217;t give that role to <strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/cingrto01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&#038;utm_source=direct&#038;utm_medium=linker-blogredmachine.com">Tony  Cingrani</a></strong>.  He has slot on the 2014 starting rotation.  Maybe even sooner.  Might even need another righty bullpen arm.</p>
<p>Moving Hamilton to center.  Bourn seeking a five-year, $100MM deal.  The Reds having other gaps to plug.  The math simply isn&#8217;t there.</p>
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