Mandatory Credit: Frank Victores-USA TODAY Sports

Starter Report: RHP Homer Bailey vs RHP Jake Arrieta

Tuesday night will see the Cincinnati Reds try to take game two of the series against the Chicago Cubs. The Reds will send Homer Bailey to the mound to face off against the Cubs righty Jake Arrieta.

Reds Starter: RHP Homer Bailey

2014 Season Stats
7 3 4.68 90.1 12 29 81

Scouting Report

Pitch Velocity Usage
Fastball 95 MPH 62%
Split Finger 87 MPH 10%
Slider 88 MPH 20%
Curveball 81 MPH 9%

Homer Bailey has been solid for the Reds once we look past his first three starts of the year. He works heavily with his fastball/slider combo, making up 82% of his pitches. He will mix in a curveball and a split finger about 10% of the time. The big key to the turnaround for Bailey has been his ability to once again locate his pitches. That continues to be the key for Bailey. When he is able to locate his pitches, he has success. But when he misses in the zone, he becomes hittable.

Cubs Starter: RHP Jake Arrieta

2014 Season Stats
3 1 1.98 50.0 2 15 55

Scouting Report

Pitch Velocity Usage
Fastball 95 MPH 52%
Change Up 88 MPH 6%
Curveball 80 MPH 19%
Slider 90 MPH 23%

After beginning the season on the disabled list, Jake Arrieta has come out and just dominated for the Cubs. He has posted a 1.98 ERA in nine starts, spanning 50.0 innings. His control has been strong this season, contrary to the past, and his strikeout rate is up. The key may be a drop in fastball usage and a rise in the usage of his slider. His fastball has been a slightly above-average pitch this season, but his slider has been among the best in the game. The change up has been a poor pitch, though it is the one he uses the least. The curveball has been average. He has allowed 10 hits in the last 20 innings with 2 walks and 27 strikeouts, so the Reds are running into a very hot pitcher who has been on a roll. For the Reds to have success they are going to need to swing within the strikezone and not expand against his breaking balls.

Tags: Cincinnati Reds Homer Bailey

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