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NL Wild Card: Reds Batting v. Pirates

You’ll hear it over the next two days. You heard it last night. You’ve probably head it for about a week now.

– “Can’t head into the playoffs on a five-game skid. This team has no momentum heading into Tuesday.”
– “Where’s the offense?”
– “Can’t win with Baker as the manager.”

So that last one was been floating around Cincinnati for a lot longer time than the others.

About those bats. The general feeling is that the Reds offense has been inconsistent this season. Look here…

For the regular season, Cincy scored 5 or more runs in 68 games. In those games, their record was 58-10. In 54 games where the Good Guys scored 2 or less, the record was 10-44.

5 is the real magic number, huh?

As we approach tomorrow night’s wild card game, we’ll throw out some numbers as they relate to different aspects of the game. Today, let’s look at some offensive numbers.

Here’s how the Good Guys have fared in their careers against the Pirates and at PNC Park

v. PIT PA BA OBP SLG
Hanigan 168 0.206 0.333 0.262
Mesoraco 60 0.196 0.300 0.275
Votto 388 0.340 0.454 0.538
Phillips 514 0.301 0.350 0.479
Frazier 130 0.254 0.331 0.447
Cozart 147 0.261 0.315 0.425
Ludwick 276 0.271 0.326 0.490
Choo 133 0.263 0.368 0.307
Bruce 347 0.237 0.317 0.468
Izturis 180 0.261 0.303 0.309
Hannahan 38 0.152 0.263 0.152
Hamilton 9 0.375 0.375 0.500
Heisey 153 0.277 0.344 0.467
Paul 32 0.200 0.250 0.367

Don’t act surprised that Joey Votto has had success against the Pirates…or almost any team for that matter.

@PNC Park PA BA OBP SLG
Hanigan 99 0.207 0.343 0.293
Mesoraco 32 0.222 0.313 0.296
Votto 199 0.346 0.457 0.549
Phillips 274 0.322 0.377 0.469
Frazier 67 0.293 0.373 0.552
Cozart 84 0.269 0.313 0.474
Ludwick 217 0.267 0.336 0.440
Choo 64 0.236 0.344 0.291
Bruce 182 0.211 0.275 0.380
Izturis 149 0.227 0.259 0.262
Hannahan 9 0.375 0.444 0.375
Hamilton 7 0.429 0.429 0.571
Heisey 83 0.333 0.390 0.467
Paul 125 0.217 0.242 0.304

As for how the Reds fare against Francisco Liriano…

PA AB H HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG
Shin-Soo Choo 32 31 6 0 2 1 10 .194 .219 .194
Brandon Phillips 12 11 3 0 1 1 3 .273 .333 .273
Joey Votto 12 10 2 0 0 2 2 .200 .333 .200
Jay Bruce 11 11 0 0 0 0 6 .000 .000 .000
Zack Cozart 11 10 2 1 1 1 3 .200 .273 .500
Todd Frazier 10 9 3 2 2 1 3 .333 .400 1.000
Ryan Ludwick 9 9 4 0 2 0 1 .444 .444 .556
Devin Mesoraco 9 6 2 0 0 3 1 .333 .556 .667
Jack Hannahan 8 7 2 0 1 1 2 .286 .375 .286
Cesar Izturis 7 7 3 0 1 0 1 .429 .429 .429
Mike Leake 6 6 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000
Derrick Robinson 5 5 1 0 0 0 3 .200 .200 .200
Chris Heisey 4 3 2 1 2 1 1 .667 .750 1.667
Corky Miller 4 4 2 0 0 0 0 .500 .500 .750
Mat Latos 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000
Manny Parra 2 2 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000
Total 144 133 32 4 12 11 40 .241 .299 .361
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 9/30/2013.


A little grim-looking? Granted not every player on this list will be active for tomorrow night’s tussle. The Reds’ three main offensive weapons are Choo, Votto and Bruce – all lefty bats. All are at .200 or lower when facing Liraino. In Bruce’s case, it’s, well, nothing.

Would be a nice time for a bat or two that has had a little success against Liriano to snap out of a funk, and have one of the previously mentioned trio get to the Bucs lefty..

I can make it look even grimmer…

v. LHP – Away/2013 PA BA OBP SLG
Hanigan 30 0.167 0.310 0.208
Mesoraco 50 0.267 0.320 0.400
Votto 116 0.255 0.371 0.480
Phillips 100 0.292 0.370 0.506
Frazier 96 0.200 0.292 0.435
Cozart 83 0.269 0.305 0.410
Ludwick 15 0.143 0.200 0.357
Choo 109 0.149 0.257 0.191
Bruce 112 0.300 0.342 0.510
Izturis 23 0.318 0.348 0.409
Hannahan 4 0.000 0.000 0.000
Hamilton 1 0.000 0.000 0.000
Heisey 53 0.255 0.308 0.489
Paul 14 0.154 0.214 0.154

These are the stats for Reds bats when facing a left-handed pitcher on the road. And for this season, Liriano is no normal lefty when he’s at home. What may shock some is that among players with significant playing time, Jay Bruce is tops in this category.

The pitching will get a look as well, but in a different post. For tomorrow night’s game, we’ll look more at starter Johnny Cueto and the most likely members of the Reds pitching staff to make the roster.

Tags: Cincinnati Reds MLB Playoffs

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