Mets v Reds - Pitching Probables

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Game 1 – Monday, September 23, 7:10 PM EDT

Mets – Aaron Harang
2013: 5-12, 5.69 ERA, 1.332 WHIP
v CIN: 3-0, 1.89 ERA, 0.947 WHIP (3 GS)
@ GABP: 38-39, 4.18 ERA, 1.293 WHIP (114 G, 113 GS)
last 7: 0-3, 7.82 ERA, 1.598 WHIP

This will be the second 2013 start at GABP for Harang. In his first start – as a member of the Seattle Mariners – Harang went six innings, allowing only a pair of runs on six hits. He’s fared well against his former team, too.

The last two starts have come as a member of the Mets. Harang was released by the M’s on August 31, only to be snatched up by the Mets the next day. An experienced arm that can eat up innings was a shrewd move by the Mets. Harang may not be what he was in his days as a Red, but he can still deliver some innings.

Among Reds players that have 10 or more PAs against Harang, only Ryan Ludwick (.389 BA, 3 HR, 9 RBI in 36 PA) has held success. Of course, the vast majority of those go back to the days when Harang was in Cincy and Luddy was in St. Louis.

Anthony Gruppuso-USA TODAY Sports

Reds – Johnny Cueto
2013: 5-2, 3.02 ERA, 1.081 WHIP
v NYM: 2-3, 5.45 ERA, 1.632 WHIP (7 GS)
@ GABP: 32-17, 3.42 ERA, 1.187 WHIP (71 GS)
last 7: 4-2, 3.22 ERA, 1.101 WHIP

Looking at Cueto’s last 7 games is misleading. His last start was his first after spending a third time on the DL. While he did go 5 innings and get the W, he still will have to continue to build his stamina.

This might be a bit troublesome as among all NL teams, the Mets swing at the least percentage of pitches outside the strike zone (29.6%). With Cueto relying less on the strikeout and knowing the Mets strikeout at the NL’s second highest rate (22.3%, Braves 22.6%), Cueto will have to induce some bad swings.

Of those currently on the Mets roster, only David Wright has a home run off Cueto. In 21 PA, Wright has a career .263 BA against Cueto.

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Tags: Cincinnati Reds New York Mets Starting Pitching

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