A fantastic outing last night from Homer Bailey. While he was unhappy about being pulled, Bailey later confessed that it was the right move. Like that fire from him. As Zach mentioned late last evening, Bailey was supported by the pen en route to a 1-0 win over the Cardinals.
Reds fans love Homer Bailey. Well, more to the point that they love him when the season is drawing to a close. Have a peek at these career splits…
I included +tOPS within this table to illustrate the last part of my previous statement. “…when the season is drawing to a close”.
A quick recap on +tOPS. For a pitcher, the lower the number, the more effective he is.
Look at that stat for Homer in Sept/Oct. That 75 is stupid good and the rest of those splits support that. The fact that he’s capable of putting up these sick numbers tells you of the talent he possesses.
The next step would be to find that for most of the other months of the season. May is pretty darn impressive, too.
But the numbers also suggest that Bailey is better in the second half of the season with Sept/Oct driving a large portion of that.
Okay, it’s not by a wide margin, but if you refer to the first table, you can see that second half is buoyed by Bailey’s final month of the season.
Same applies to this season.
How good was Bailey last night? His +tOPS for this month sits at -17. Yep, so good it’s negative. Granted, last night was his only September start, but good gravy.
Just for comparison’s sake, after his sensational outing on the previous night, Mat Latos’ +tOPS is 12.
In a couple of sentences. Bailey was simply superb last night. If he performs has the numbers suggest, he’ll be a big player for the Good Guys during the month of September and beyond.