Reds Trade Target: What About Oliver Perez?

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Pluses

1. Increased velocity being in pen

I know that velocity on its own doesn’t make a pitcher, and practically any pitcher that moves from the starting rotation to the pen should experience this. Compare it to his other pitches.

Season Team vFA vFT vFC vSI vSL vCU vCH
2007 Mets 91.9 80.5 75.5 81.1
2008 Mets 91.2 79.8 77.1 80.3
2009 Mets 89.9 85.6 79.3 77.3 84.9
2010 Mets 89 88.4 85.9 76.3 84.9
2012 Mariners 93.2 93.7 80.2 81.9
2013 Mariners 92.3 92.8 80.3 80.1

With the increase in his fastball velo, he’s also added such to his slider. In fact, his slider, a pitch he does like to throw, is his most effective pitch. Perez has also created greater separation in velocity between his fastball and changeup. An added bonus.

Another added bonus: fastball and sinker are at about the same speed.

2. Effective against right-handed batters

But Perez is a lefty. True, but Perez is actually more effective against RHB, a point Sullivan makes, but you will see it displayed.

Split PA AB R H 2B 3B HR BB SO SO/BB BA OBP SLG OPS BAbip
vs RHB 82 72 6 13 4 1 3 10 29 2.90 .181 .280 .389 .669 .250
vs LHB 67 61 5 16 0 0 1 6 21 3.50 .262 .328 .311 .640 .385
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 7/25/2013.

That strikeout rate v. RHB is 35.4%. He’s not as effective against lefties, but he can still strikeout lefties at a very good clip of 31.3%. Might be that slider that gets the righties.

3. Contact rate

Another point made by Sullivan, and we will again show you this.

Yr Team OSwing% ZSwing% Swing% OContact% ZContact% Contact% Zone%
2007 NYM 32.8 % 53.1 % 42.8 % 68.4 % 86.9 % 79.7 % 49.1 %
2008 NYM 25.7 % 57.8 % 42.3 % 57.2 % 88.5 % 79.3 % 51.7 %
2009 NYM 21.1 % 56.9 % 39.4 % 61.9 % 87.0 % 80.4 % 51.0 %
2010 NYM 24.0 % 63.5 % 41.7 % 70.4 % 86.6 % 81.4 % 44.8 %
2012 SEA 33.5 % 63.5 % 50.9 % 57.8 % 86.2 % 78.4 % 57.9 %
2013 SEA 30.9 % 56.7 % 45.7 % 42.0 % 79.9 % 68.9 % 57.3 %

Yes, you’re seeing things correctly. His contact rate from last season to this season has dropped almost 10%! Could be part of the reason he’s allowed only 4 of 20 inherited runners to score in 2013.

4. He could be cheap!

I know I said the M’s might be publicly stating their not dealing to drive up the price, but Perez is only making $1.5M this season.

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