March 29, 2013; Phoenix, AZ, USA; Votto plays the field in the second inning during a spring training game against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. (Photo: Rick Scuteri-USA TODAY Sports)

What's Up in the NL Central: 3/31/13

A little different today…

Here’s what we’ll do. Bovada released it odds and all pertaining to the NLC favorites and all, so I thought I would share those with you. You’ll see the line to win the NLC, odds to win National League and odds to win the World Series. The over/under for total number of wins is in parenthesis after each team.

Chicago Cubs (73.5) – +2000, 40/1, 75/1
Cincinnati Reds (91.5) – -150, 6/1, 12/1
Milwaukee Brewers (80.5) – +650, 22/1, 50/1
Pittsburgh Pirates (77.5) – +1000, 33/1, 66/1
St. Louis Cardinals (86.5) – +250, 10/1, 18/1

The Reds are installed as division favorites, but keep something in mind here. Vegas and other bookmakers want as much action as possible on any team it can get. Just because the Reds are viewed as the “favorite” does not mean it’s their “prediction”.

Prop bets are something that always grabs my attention, not because I bet (I don’t), but because it’s interesting to see how those numbers are derived. Case in point, some of the props for Joey Votto.

Bovada has these on the board…
batting average in 2013: .315
home runs for 2013: 29.5
RBI for 2013: 103.5

Those numbers (and you go over or under) are at those numbers for a good reason. On the batting average, Votto’s lifetime BA is .316. The HR number of 29.5 is fascinating in that Votto has hit 30 or more home runs only once in his career (2010 with 37). Based on Baseball References’ 162-game average, Votto would have 30 HR. And the RBI tally of 103.5 seems a little high compared to his 102 for that same 162-game average except for one thing: Shin-Soo Choo.

Of course, those are just my opinions on why those numbers are set where they’re at and no other reason. Those numbers set do make sense.

And Votto is the favorite (15/2) to win the NL MVP. Here’s other NLC players…

Ryan Braun: 9/1
Andrew McCutchen: 15/1
Aramis Ramirez: 25/1
Jay Bruce: 25/1
Matt Holliday: 25/1
Yadier Molina: 25/1
Allen Craig: 33/1
Rickie Weeks: 33/1
Starlin Castro: 33/1

Who would you put a few bucks on?

Tags: NL Central

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