Concerned About Cueto?

Feb 22, 2013; Goodyear, AZ, USA; Cueto takes a batting stance in the dugout during the second inning against the Cleveland Indians at Goodyear Ballpark. (Photo: Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports)

After his outing against the Chicago White Sox, Reds manager Dusty Baker said starter Johnny Cueto said was “just off” with his delivery. The cause? Cueto says he was flying open with his shoulder and his delivery was too fast. Well, isn’t this just one of many reasons we have spring training? True, and what to make of Cueto’s spring thus far?

Statistically speaking: 1-0, 3 G, 9 IP, 5.00 ERA, 1.556 WHIP, 5 BB, 7 SO.

Are you one that cringed upon seeing those numbers? Honestly, you shouldn’t. Here’s why I say that.

We see, hear, say, tweet and read it all the time. Spring training stats are pretty much meaningless. Some may say all spring training stats are meaningless. If you’re looking for such a case to prove either of those points correct, you’re search can truly end with Cueto.

All you have to do is look at Cueto’s spring numbers from 2011 and 2012, then look at what he produced during the regular season from those years. Cueto has certainly delivered for the Good Guys these past two seasons.

Spring training: 2011 and 2012

W L ERA G IP H R ER HR BB SO AVG WHIP
2011 1 1 6.00 4 9 10 6 6 0 2 5 .323 1.33
2012 1 3 4.95 5 20 21 13 11 5 3 9 .269 1.20

Unflattering numbers to say the least.

Regular season: 2011 and 2012

W L ERA G IP H R ER HR BB SO AVG WHIP
2011 9 5 2.31 24 156 123 51 40 8 47 104 .220 1.09
2012 19 9 2.78 33 217 205 73 67 15 49 170 .252 1.17

If there are any concerns moving forward, it would likely point to the fact that Cueto has seen his past two seasons end with an injury. In 2011, his regular season started and ended with stints on the DL. Irritation in his right biceps/triceps was the cause for beginning ’11 on the DL while a lat strain was the reason for his season to be cut short.

Last year, it was being pulled from Game 1 of the NLDS due to an oblique strain.

At this point, there should be zero concern over Cueto’s and his spring stats. There’s also time for Cueto to work on his mechanics before Opening Day.

Plus, as the numbers above truly show, when the games are legit, so is Johnny Cueto.

Topics: Cincinnati Reds, Johnny Cueto, Spring Training

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  • JD Rentz

    Positive message for anybody ever putting too much stock in the stats that Spring Training produces. Occasionally somebody “hot” from the Spring translates it into the regular season, but, more often than not, great ST doesn’t equate to a great season for generally “mediocre” performers. Regular season stats always carry more weight; the Spring is a tune-up.

    • http://blogredmachine.com/ Steve O’Red

      I only listed the past two springs of Cueto numbers plus what he’s done this year. If you go to his page on Reds.com, you can clearly see he rarely performs well in ST. Only once has Cueto had eye-popping ST numbers.

  • beeker

    Too many fans must be addicted to the adrenaline rush they get from panic. Either that or social media feeds a need to sound smart, and the easiest way for people to sound like they know what they are talking about is to scream doom and gloom based on misconstrued or meaningless information.

    • http://blogredmachine.com/ Steve O’Red

      If you’re on Facebook, go to the Reds FB page and read some of the silliness there…